Saturday, September 12, 2009

Time to take a call

"One eye-witness is of more weight than ten hearsays."
- Churchill

I know it might sound as if somebody is trying to get noticed here. No such effort. Just weigh the evidence that I am putting in front of you. In my analysis and mind you it is not an opinion, the market will reach the levels of 6500-7000 in the next 9-12 months. 
The market from levels of 6500 went into a downtrend which ended at 2500 levels. There it formed a double bottom. The index has formed a rounded bottom from September 2008 to May 2009. Now it is all has formed a consolidation triangle and a breakout. Market over the medium term is all set to achieve the height of the formation ie 2000 points from the breakout level ie 4500-4800 which provides a target of 6500-7000. It is a very simple and basic but a very effective and accurate analysis of probable Nifty move.
Also the first phase of uptrend and subsequent halt/correction is over. Now the next move which will begin should be the longest one followed by a medium term (1-3 month) correction. Thereafter a period of highly speculative move would begin marked by huge exuberrance and low quality supply of paper. That will mark the end of bull market (In my opinion we are far away from it) 
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5 comments:

  1. Hi,


    Any views on FDC limited and Unitech for this week? Please get me the target. FDC has a buyback offer @ 60 Rs/-

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  2. FDC had broken out of Symmetrical triangle in late August warranting a target of Rs.55 which was almost achieved. The stock has formed a shooting star pattern on daily charts and also correcting its overbought position. Get out on any bounceback as the stock may undergo consolidation.

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  3. As far as Unitech is concerned it depends on the time frame you want to hold. If you are interested for medium term keep holding it with stoploss of 92 and if it gets near 100 accumulate for a longer term. In the medium term it has the potential of reaching 134-140 whereas in longer term I forecast a target of 195-200. Of course it does not mean that will happen in few weeks

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  4. So, I will exit FDC @ 52-54 levels (My Cost price : 51.50).. will that be possible this week?

    Also, on the basis of ur views I will sell Unitech @ 120 levels to buy again @ 100...

    Thanks again for ur time and immediate response...

    ReplyDelete